Government programme
Flood Management Information System and flood early warning (Water Resources Department)
The Water Resources Department's flood information and forecasting system, run by the Flood Management Improvement Support Centre (FMISC) in Patna since 2006. It issues daily flood bulletins from mid-June to mid-October, publishes satellite-derived inundation maps and river data, and, according to the minister, gives district officials flood warnings up to 72 hours ahead.
Good to know: FMISC publishes daily flood bulletins, inundation maps and real-time river data during the monsoon. The forecast lead time and accuracy figures are the minister's statements; no independent evaluation of forecast performance for 2021-2025 has been found.
Reported figures (3)
Each figure is marked as an official statistic, a government claim or a target
| Measure | Figure | As of | Type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Claimed rainfall and river-level forecast correctness Water resources minister Sanjay Kumar Jha. No evaluation is cited. | 90 percent | Government claim | The Times of India | |
Flood-prone districts using the department's new flood technologies Of 38 districts. | 28 districts | Government claim | The Times of India | |
Claimed flood warning lead time The same 72-hour lead time was claimed in August 2020. | 72 hours | Government claim | The Hindu |
How it unfolded (5)
Each step as a dated source records it, oldest first
- Programme initiated
Phase I of the Flood Management Information System began, with World Bank technical assistance, for flood-prone north Bihar.
NITI Aayog, Development Monitoring and Evaluation Office: case study, Flood Management Information System (FMIS), Bihar
- Programme initiated
FMIS Phase II began, extending the system to all of north Bihar; it was later extended to November 2014.
NITI Aayog, Development Monitoring and Evaluation Office: case study, Flood Management Information System (FMIS), Bihar
- Operational
The water resources minister said the department had started using an early warning system and mathematical modelling that year, alerting district magistrates in north Bihar to heavy rain 72 hours ahead.
The Indian Express
- Operational
At a state disaster management workshop the minister said new flood technologies were in use in 28 of 38 districts and the mathematical modelling centre had forecast rainfall and river levels with 90% correctness.
The Times of India
- Operational
Ahead of the monsoon the minister said the early warning system would issue flood warnings 72 hours in advance and a new 'Befikr' app would give real-time flood information.
The Hindu
What's confirmed
3 sourced facts
- FMISC was created in the Water Resources Department to develop and run the Flood Management Information System with World Bank technical assistance; Phase I began in August 2006 (project cost Rs 10.86 crore) and Phase II in May 2010.
- FMISC issues a daily flood information bulletin during the monsoon, generally 15 June to 15 October, and publishes inundation maps derived from NRSC RADARSAT imagery, barrage status reports and real-time river data.
- The water resources minister said in August 2020, June 2022 and June 2023 that the department used an early warning system and mathematical modelling for flood forecasting, with warnings up to 72 hours ahead.
Still to be confirmed
4 open questions
- Forecast performance. The 90% correctness and 72-hour lead time are the minister's statements; no published verification has been found.
- Whether the system uses AI. The Indian Express (August 2020) reported that the state had started using artificial intelligence alongside the early warning and mathematical modelling systems, but neither that article nor any later source describes an AI model or names one, and the minister's own quoted words mention only the early warning system.
- Whether the 'Befikr' flood app announced in June 2023 was launched, and its use.
- The lives-saved effect. The minister's comparison of 25 flood deaths in 2020 with 130 a year earlier is not attributed to forecasting by any evaluation.
Sources (5)
Who reported it, when, and what they cover
| Publisher | Published | Covers | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
NITI Aayog, Development Monitoring and Evaluation Office: case study, Flood Management Information System (FMIS), Bihar Official government |
| Open source (opens in a new tab) | |
The Indian Express Established news |
| Open source (opens in a new tab) | |
The Times of India Established news |
| Open source (opens in a new tab) | |
The Hindu Established news |
| Open source (opens in a new tab) | |
Flood Management Improvement Support Centre, Water Resources Department, Bihar Official government |
| Open source (opens in a new tab) |
Record ID: BIHAR-GOV-026Dataset last checked Spotted an error? Report a correctionHow corrections work